Minimize AIC, BIC

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Nils
Posts: 4
Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 7:02 am

Minimize AIC, BIC

Postby Nils » Fri May 22, 2009 9:03 am

Does anyone know how to minimize AIC or BIC when constructing an ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model in Eviews?
I have seen similar questions posed in other posts in this forum. Unlike those posts I would like to try let's say 10 or 11 explanatory variables in the regression. Maximum lag length could be 8 quarters. I don't expect all variables to fit in the final model but it could be worth trying all of them.
Thankful for answers.

Nils
Posts: 4
Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 7:02 am

Re: Minimize AIC, BIC

Postby Nils » Sat May 23, 2009 8:19 am

If there is anyone who has an answer to this question, I would be really thankful. I'm in urgent need!

tcfoon
Posts: 54
Joined: Fri May 15, 2009 4:33 am

Re: Minimize AIC, BIC

Postby tcfoon » Sun May 24, 2009 2:58 am

Dear Nils,

Since you are urgently need the code for any purposes, I suggest you to use the following procedure to determine the ARDL model.

Assumed that you have 2 variables.

Step 1: Run an autoregressive process (AR) regression that is Y regress with the past value (t-j) of itself (Y). Then use the AIC or BIC to determine the best lag structure.

Step 2: Run a second regression with the Y and the selected lag length (fix lags for Y), then added the lagged X into the testing equation. By doing that you can determine the optimal lag order for your X with AIC and BIC.

The above approach is similar to the Hsiao's (1981) non-parametric causality test - Journal of Monetary Economics

Good luck and hope the above procedure helped you to solve your urgent problem.

Thank you,

Regards,
CF Tang

Nils
Posts: 4
Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 7:02 am

Re: Minimize AIC, BIC

Postby Nils » Sun May 24, 2009 4:37 am

Thank you very much for your help!


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