Stability Diagnostics - Recursive Estimation and AR terms

For econometric discussions not necessarily related to EViews.

Moderators: EViews Gareth, EViews Moderator

Mila
Posts: 18
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2011 12:54 pm

Stability Diagnostics - Recursive Estimation and AR terms

Postby Mila » Sat Dec 31, 2011 3:06 pm

Hi,
I was using the stability diagnostics to get recursive coefficients for some parsimonious OLS equations that have AR terms (lagged dependent variables) in them. Then I read the Eviews Help Guide, and noticed the statement: "The recursive estimates view is only available for equations estimated by ordinary least squares without AR and MA terms". Does anyone know if this means I literally cannot use recursive estimation option for equations with AR terms? I can't put my finger on why not - since it's just adding observations one at a time/increasing the sample size. Plus I can still generate the graphs and series.
I would really appreciate any advice on this.
Thanks!

EViews Glenn
EViews Developer
Posts: 2682
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 9:17 am

Re: Stability Diagnostics - Recursive Estimation and AR term

Postby EViews Glenn » Mon Jan 02, 2012 10:35 am

There are several sets of recursive diagnostics. Of which are you referring?

Mila
Posts: 18
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2011 12:54 pm

Re: Stability Diagnostics - Recursive Estimation and AR term

Postby Mila » Tue Jan 03, 2012 4:13 am

Hi, thanks for your message.
It is the option that follows from stability diagnostics, "Recursive Estimates (OLS only)", and then all 6 options within that tab (Eviews 7.1). I think perhaps the Guide means that it doesn't work for purely ARMA regressions? I tried a univariate ARMA regression, and sure enough I wasn't able to use the above diagnostics option. But I suppose if I have a multivariate OLS regression that happens to have AR terms, it is fine?

Mila

EViews Glenn
EViews Developer
Posts: 2682
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 9:17 am

Re: Stability Diagnostics - Recursive Estimation and AR term

Postby EViews Glenn » Tue Jan 03, 2012 10:11 am

The reason it's not offered for AR models is that the latter are nonlinear estimators. The recursive coefficients view uses one-step updating to find the solution to the linear least squares estimator without inverting the augmented moment matrix. Nonlinear estimation would involve full estimation for each augmented sample.

Mila
Posts: 18
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2011 12:54 pm

Re: Stability Diagnostics - Recursive Estimation and AR term

Postby Mila » Wed Jan 04, 2012 9:33 am

Hi Glenn,
Thanks for your clarification. I think I sort of get what you mean (please excuse my technical ignorance). Just to clarify: Does that mean that despite being able to get the recursive coefficients with my regressions (with AR terms), they are not the accurate nonlinear estimates?
Many thanks for your help!

startz
Non-normality and collinearity are NOT problems!
Posts: 3796
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2008 2:25 pm

Re: Stability Diagnostics - Recursive Estimation and AR term

Postby startz » Wed Jan 04, 2012 9:50 am

EViews treats lagged dependent variables and explicit AR terms differently. This may explain some of what's going on.

Mila
Posts: 18
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2011 12:54 pm

Re: Stability Diagnostics - Recursive Estimation and AR term

Postby Mila » Sat Jan 07, 2012 3:59 am

Thanks Startz! That might be it I think. My equations are with lagged dependent variables, so I'm still "allowed" to proceed with the recursive estimation options. I guess I will the results as "kosher" then.


Return to “Econometric Discussions”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest