how to access conditional variance after garch estimation

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Nau2306
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Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2011 11:51 am

how to access conditional variance after garch estimation

Postby Nau2306 » Tue Dec 13, 2011 11:16 am

Hi

I am using eviews6. I would like to know if it is possible to obtain/access the vector of conditional variance following garch estimation in eviews. If so, how to do it?

EViews Gareth
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Re: how to access conditional variance after garch estimatio

Postby EViews Gareth » Tue Dec 13, 2011 11:17 am

Proc->Make GARCH series

Nau2306
Posts: 74
Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2011 11:51 am

Re: how to access conditional variance after garch estimatio

Postby Nau2306 » Tue Dec 13, 2011 11:23 am

sorry my msg was incomplete... what i meant was that i have got a sample from 2000 up to 2011. i have used data from 2000 to 2008 for garch estimation. i have been able to obtain the variance series from 2000 to 2008 but after forecasting the variance from 2008 to 2011, i wish to have the variance series for the forecast. Is that possible?

Thanks

EViews Gareth
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Re: how to access conditional variance after garch estimatio

Postby EViews Gareth » Tue Dec 13, 2011 11:31 am

I don't understand what:
after forecasting the variance from 2008 to 2011, i wish to have the variance series for the forecast
means.

Nau2306
Posts: 74
Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2011 11:51 am

Re: how to access conditional variance after garch estimatio

Postby Nau2306 » Tue Dec 13, 2011 11:39 am

hmm i mean after estimation, can we access the forecasts? Eviews6 only gives us the variance forecast graph but i need the variance forecasts series

thx

EViews Gareth
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Re: how to access conditional variance after garch estimatio

Postby EViews Gareth » Tue Dec 13, 2011 11:40 am

When you hit the forecast button there is a box that lets you enter the name for the GARCH forecast series.

Nau2306
Posts: 74
Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2011 11:51 am

Re: how to access conditional variance after garch estimatio

Postby Nau2306 » Tue Dec 13, 2011 12:24 pm

yes u r right but why do i get the same value for each day static forecast when from the graph of the forecast variance, the forecast is different for each day?

I would also like to clarify something. maybe thats where i am making mistakes.

Like i said i am using data from 2000 to 2011. i uploaded all the data. then i estimated garch from 2000 to 2008. Now if i want to obtain in forecast sample, I specified the forecast sample from 2000 to 2008 and for out of sample forecast, I specified the sample forecast from 2008 to 2011. Is that correct?

Thanks

EViews Gareth
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Re: how to access conditional variance after garch estimatio

Postby EViews Gareth » Tue Dec 13, 2011 12:49 pm

Yes, that is correct.


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