Dynamic Forecast

For technical questions regarding estimation of single equations, systems, VARs, Factor analysis and State Space Models in EViews. General econometric questions and advice should go in the Econometric Discussions forum.

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brennan6738
Posts: 31
Joined: Tue Sep 08, 2009 1:28 pm

Dynamic Forecast

Postby brennan6738 » Thu Jan 20, 2011 9:12 pm

Can someone tell me if there is a setting I can change when I creaste a Dynamic forecast to capture the volatility of a series? I have uses an ARMA(1,1) to model the series attached (it is daily data) but the forecast just gives me this straight line. I see a Static forecast is more realistic, but I want to forecast multiple days forward.
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EViews Gareth
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Posts: 13584
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2008 5:38 pm

Dynamic Forecast

Postby EViews Gareth » Thu Jan 20, 2011 9:29 pm

That is impossible. You'll have to model the volatility.

brennan6738
Posts: 31
Joined: Tue Sep 08, 2009 1:28 pm

Re: Dynamic Forecast

Postby brennan6738 » Thu Jan 20, 2011 9:59 pm

Can someone tell me where in the Eviews User Guide I can learn more about modeling volatility?

EViews Gareth
Fe ddaethom, fe welon, fe amcangyfrifon
Posts: 13584
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2008 5:38 pm

Re: Dynamic Forecast

Postby EViews Gareth » Thu Jan 20, 2011 10:28 pm

You need to read an econometrics text book rather than the User Guide.


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