Forecasting a recession using a probit model. Please help!

[Kashif]

Hi,

I am quite new to eviews and I am not really econometrically educated.
I have quite a few variables and a US recession indicator indicating 1 for a recession and 0 otherwise.
Now I want to make a predictive model using these variables.
I will add my data in an attachment.
If you are really interested I want to do the same thing as Estrella and Mishkin, 1998 (Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators) or more simply as Peter Sephton does in the added PDF file.

Hopefully somebody can help me, I am really stuck.

[Kashif]

I found the solution, just run a probit regression. I had done that before and I thought it was wrong, however it wasn't.