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Fri May 22, 2009 3:48 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: How to estimate a random walk model?
Replies: 18
Views: 61709

Re: How to estimate a random walk model?

Trubador, this isn't really right. Estimates of Yt = pYt-1 + ut and Yt-Yt-1 = (p-1)Yt-1 + ut are econometrically identical except for the -1 factor.
why except for the -1 factor?

Yt-Yt-1 = (p-1)Yt-1 + ut
Yt-Yt-1 = pYt-1Yt-1 + ut
Yt = pYt-1 + ut
by question
Fri May 22, 2009 2:37 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: How to estimate a random walk model?
Replies: 18
Views: 61709

Re: How to estimate a random walk model?

The correct form would be Yt-Yt-1 = (p-1)Yt-1 + ut. If the coefficient (p-1) is insignificant, then it means that the original series Yt follows a random walk. In EViews terms, you can type your equation as d(Y) = c(1)*Y(-1) in the estimate equation dialog box. Here the coefficient (c(1)) is exactl...

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