Search found 12 matches

by diego45
Thu May 01, 2014 7:42 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Estimate GARCH(0,0) ???
Replies: 4
Views: 5763

Estimate GARCH(0,0) ???

Hi everybody, I have to estimate a model with restriction and one of the restriction is to estimate ht = c + VIX_t-1 But when i put 0 and 0 for Garch and Arch parameter eviews send the error : "Specification must include at least one Arch or Garch term" So i have made a new conditional var...
by diego45
Mon Sep 30, 2013 8:59 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Estimation GARCH
Replies: 1
Views: 3557

Estimation GARCH

Hi everybody i need your help i have to estimate : http://img4.hostingpics.net/pics/856247Capturedcran20130930175601.png Where i have to estime : lambda, omega,beta,alpha,gamma and zt--> N(0,1) Is there a way to do it without write a code, but directly in eviews ? i do not know how to proceed, could...
by diego45
Sun Dec 23, 2012 9:04 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Test random Walk
Replies: 5
Views: 7967

Re: Test random Walk

Thanks for answer. I want to test if use technical analysis to forecast price is a good way. In fact ii i find that their is a random walk i'm sure that technical analysis bring nothing the analyst. If i found that their is not random walk and if i find that their is serial-correlation between past ...
by diego45
Fri Dec 14, 2012 8:25 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Test random Walk
Replies: 5
Views: 7967

Re: Test random Walk

no i have done the dick fuhler test and their is a unit root

Sont i cant regress Pt = Pt-1 + ut

due to the presence of this unit root ?
by diego45
Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:13 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Test random Walk
Replies: 5
Views: 7967

Test random Walk

Hi everybody I would like to test that stock market price follow a random walk. So i did stochastic calculus and i saw that a random walk with a drift could be written like that : Yt = Y0 + b.dt + o.dWt ... Where b.dt is the drift and dWt is wienner or brownien process So in eviews if i generate x =...
by diego45
Sat Nov 17, 2012 5:14 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Interpretation of Johansen TEST
Replies: 2
Views: 5335

Re: Interpretation of Johansen TEST

edit
by diego45
Sat Nov 17, 2012 4:53 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Interpretation of Johansen TEST
Replies: 2
Views: 5335

Interpretation of Johansen TEST

Hi could please tell me if what i say is good. http://img11.hostingpics.net/pics/541721Capturedcran20121117124818.png So here we can see that for 5% the trace statistic is superior to the critical value. So we reject the null hypothesis that "none" variable are co-integrated. After we also...
by diego45
Thu Nov 15, 2012 2:50 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Beginner ARch Garch need help
Replies: 4
Views: 7911

Re: Beginner ARch Garch need help

thanks for answer, I don't know how to proceed. i have my garch equation : h(t) = c + 0,15 ut-1^2 + 0,88h(t-1) so io should estimate the sigma(t+1). But i can't estimate ht(t+2) (t+3) ... cause i don't have ut+1 ut+2 ... Forecasting : I have a sample range of 504 observations, so i resize the sample...
by diego45
Wed Nov 14, 2012 3:09 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Beginner ARch Garch need help
Replies: 4
Views: 7911

Re: Beginner ARch Garch need help

Thanks for help

I have another question,

i get that graph :
Image

What does it means ?

thanks
by diego45
Tue Nov 13, 2012 10:28 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Beginner ARch Garch need help
Replies: 4
Views: 7911

Beginner ARch Garch need help

got the answer for my topic, Show next message below thanks
by diego45
Tue Nov 13, 2012 8:56 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Student Degree of freedom
Replies: 1
Views: 2933

Re: Student Degree of freedom

i have found
thx
by diego45
Tue Nov 13, 2012 7:27 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Student Degree of freedom
Replies: 1
Views: 2933

Student Degree of freedom

Hi everybody Would like to ask you about something, In fact i would like estimate the stochastic volatility of the return of Dow jones and cac40 (yes i'm french) :) I would like to use a garch model, but firstly i have found that my return doesn't follow a normal distribution but look like to be a s...

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