Search found 21 matches

by um4rio
Tue Feb 16, 2010 6:54 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: URGENT help needed - how to interpret johansen results?
Replies: 2
Views: 5443

Re: URGENT help needed - how to interpret johansen results?

anybody have any idea? even a short answer will do..
by um4rio
Tue Feb 16, 2010 4:14 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: URGENT help needed - how to interpret johansen results?
Replies: 2
Views: 5443

URGENT help needed - how to interpret johansen results?

dependant variable: L(sales) independent variables: L(price), L(income) where L means log Here are the results: Vector Error Correction Estimates Date: 02/02/10 Time: 13:45 Sample (adjusted): 1931 2004 Cointegrating Eq: CointEq1 L(SALES(-1)) 1.000000 L(PRICE(-1)) 0.412459 L(INCOME(-1)) 0.7035123 C -...
by um4rio
Sat Feb 06, 2010 9:29 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Should different software packages give different estimates?
Replies: 1
Views: 3374

Should different software packages give different estimates?

For example, I have tried a few VAR equations in Eviews and Microfit. Despite using the same data, they give different estimates for the coefficents inside the cointegrating vector. Is this normal? Or should the two software packages be giving the same results? I only ask this because in my elastici...
by um4rio
Thu Feb 04, 2010 2:41 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: time series study - data not stationary
Replies: 7
Views: 30727

Re: time series study - data not stationary

if you are finding that all of the coefficients are now not significant, you may want to test to see if all the I(1) nonstationary variables are cointegrated to do this, save the residuals from your original regression. Run an ADF test on the residuals to see if the residuals are also I(1). In theo...
by um4rio
Tue Feb 02, 2010 8:02 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Testing for cointegration
Replies: 0
Views: 2807

Testing for cointegration

I have an equation of the following form, where all variables are I(1): log(y) = log(x1) + log(x2) + C @trend This means that the equations should be estimated using first differences, however I have been told that if it is proven that the data is cointegrated, I can use the normal estimations inste...
by um4rio
Mon Feb 01, 2010 12:34 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: time series study - data not stationary
Replies: 7
Views: 30727

Re: time series study - data not stationary

also, when estimating in first differences, all my coefficients become insignificant :? is this normal?
by um4rio
Mon Feb 01, 2010 11:26 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: time series study - data not stationary
Replies: 7
Views: 30727

Re: time series study - data not stationary

thank you for your reply. Upon doing further research, it seems that if I estimate in first differences:

dlog(y) = dlog(x1) + dlog(x2) + C

this will only give me short term elasticties, whereas the normal equation:

log(y) = log(x1) + log(x2) + C

gives me long term elasticities. Is this true?
by um4rio
Sun Jan 31, 2010 11:04 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: time series study - data not stationary
Replies: 7
Views: 30727

Re: time series study - data not stationary

Ok so i've run the ADF test on all variables, and it revealed that they were all non stationary. After running the test on first diffrences, it revealed that they were all now stationary, so first differences are needed to get the variables to be stationary. The main problem i still have however, is...
by um4rio
Thu Jan 28, 2010 9:04 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: time series study - data not stationary
Replies: 7
Views: 30727

Re: time series study - data not stationary

any ideas? cheers
by um4rio
Wed Jan 27, 2010 11:06 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: time series study - data not stationary
Replies: 7
Views: 30727

time series study - data not stationary

Hi, my study involves measuring the price elasticity, and income elasticity of certain goods. The elasticities are obtained by using the double log functional form. However, I am new to this and just have a few questions about the issue of 'stationarity' 1) To detect whether data is stationary, do i...
by um4rio
Sun Jan 24, 2010 10:27 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Dynamic model, first order serial correlation detected
Replies: 8
Views: 11072

Re: Dynamic model, first order serial correlation detected

The number of iterations doesn't matter. You might read the section in the Help system under "How EViews Estimates AR Models." thanks that was very helpful, when referring to this is it ok if I refer to it as "the iterative procedure"? - or would a different name be more appropr...
by um4rio
Sun Jan 24, 2010 8:13 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Dynamic model, first order serial correlation detected
Replies: 8
Views: 11072

Re: Dynamic model, first order serial correlation detected

This is almost (not quite) identical to the Cochrane-Orcutt iterative procedure, and it is okay to use with a lagged dependent variable. thanks for your help :D what is this procedure called? Also, do i need to pay attention to how many iterations it takes? (i.e, on a regression that i tried of the...
by um4rio
Sat Jan 23, 2010 7:52 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Dynamic model, first order serial correlation detected
Replies: 8
Views: 11072

Re: Dynamic model, first order serial correlation detected

If you're doing a regression, add AR(1) to the variable list. thank you for your reply. How would this remove the serial correlation? Correct me if I'm wrong, but is this the 'cochrane-orchutt iterative procedure'? I read about this in a book today, however it didn't make it clear whether it was po...
by um4rio
Sat Jan 23, 2010 4:21 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Dynamic model, first order serial correlation detected
Replies: 8
Views: 11072

Dynamic model, first order serial correlation detected

how do I remove the serial correlation in eviews? Most the methods I have found I cannot use because I have a lagged dependant variable as an independent variable..

thanks
by um4rio
Wed Dec 02, 2009 7:17 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Time trend?
Replies: 8
Views: 46049

Re: Time trend?

The majority of my vifs seem way too big :shock: I'm hoping that after I've corrected for the multicollinearity that price and income will be significant in more cases, as it is in other papers. Even after i've corrected for multicollinearity, serial correlation may still be an issue. I don't know w...

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