Search found 9 matches
- Tue Jan 10, 2012 9:47 am
- Forum: Estimation
- Topic: Failure in improving likelihood in a state-space model
- Replies: 0
- Views: 1882
Failure in improving likelihood in a state-space model
Hi, I'm trying to specify the following state-space model: @signal dlrgdp = c(1) + c(2)*dlrgdp(-1) + c(3)*dhom(-23) + sv1*dhom(-23) + [var = exp(c(9))] @state sv1 = c(5)*sv1(-1) + [var = exp(c(7))] But the output window indicates: "Failure to improve likelihood after X iterations"... How t...
- Thu Dec 15, 2011 10:37 am
- Forum: Estimation
- Topic: state space model (NEED HELP)
- Replies: 0
- Views: 1930
state space model (NEED HELP)
Hi everyone, I'm trying to construct a state space model based on an AR model of the dependent variable. My state space model should be relatively simple since I have only one explicative variable which as a time-varying coefficient. I want to estimate the elasticity of this explicative variable (de...
- Thu Dec 15, 2011 10:25 am
- Forum: Econometric Discussions
- Topic: how to interpret the results of cointegraton test
- Replies: 1
- Views: 2772
Re: how to interpret the results of cointegraton test
Hi,
Do yxou know how to put these cointegrated vectors in the initail regression (in order to take into account the cointegrated vectors)?
Thanks,
D.
Do yxou know how to put these cointegrated vectors in the initail regression (in order to take into account the cointegrated vectors)?
Thanks,
D.
- Mon Dec 12, 2011 4:38 pm
- Forum: Econometric Discussions
- Topic: Johansen approach for testing cointegration
- Replies: 0
- Views: 3026
Johansen approach for testing cointegration
Hi everyone, I'm measuring the effect of crime on investments in Rio de Janeiro. To do so, I'm using the following investment function: I = f(Y, K, r, E, O) ; where I = investments, Y = GDP, K = capital stock, r = interest rate, E = investor's confidence, O = openess of the economy (X+M). In order t...
- Thu Dec 08, 2011 6:26 am
- Forum: Econometric Discussions
- Topic: D(logY) = c + b1 D(logX1), How to interpret b1?
- Replies: 5
- Views: 9415
Re: D(logY) = c + b1 D(logX1), How to interpret b1?
By isolate, the author means remove the long-run relationship. There is no way to detect or measure a long-run relationship among time series if they are not cointegrated. The maximum you can do is measure the short-run relationship between them by interpreting elasticities of differenciated variabl...
- Thu Dec 08, 2011 4:19 am
- Forum: Econometric Discussions
- Topic: D(logY) = c + b1 D(logX1), How to interpret b1?
- Replies: 5
- Views: 9415
Re: D(logY) = c + b1 D(logX1), How to interpret b1?
Guys, D(logY) is not equal to the "rate of change of logY"! The rate of change (=growth rate) of logY is equal to: log(logYt)-log(logYt-1). In EViews language: log(logY)-log(logY(-1)). If you're not convinced, just graph in the same graph the growth rate of Y and its first difference. You ...
- Wed Dec 07, 2011 4:38 pm
- Forum: Econometric Discussions
- Topic: Johansen cointegration
- Replies: 11
- Views: 19051
Re: Johansen cointegration
Hi, You did a big mistake in your 3): You CAN NOT transform annualy data into monthly data... Doing so, you speculate the values of your series. It's absolutely not permitted to do it if your not sure of the volatility of your series. For example, it is possible to transform annually dat into monthl...
- Wed Dec 07, 2011 4:31 pm
- Forum: Econometric Discussions
- Topic: Cointegration (to difference or not to difference) NEED HELP
- Replies: 2
- Views: 3671
Re: Cointegration (to difference or not to difference) NEED
At levels.
But do you know how to apply the Pantula's Principle in order to determine the best model (with/without ternd; with/without intercept)? I mean, do you know the code for this Pantula's principle?
Thanks,
D.
But do you know how to apply the Pantula's Principle in order to determine the best model (with/without ternd; with/without intercept)? I mean, do you know the code for this Pantula's principle?
Thanks,
D.
- Wed Dec 07, 2011 4:22 pm
- Forum: Econometric Discussions
- Topic: Johansen approach for testing cointegration
- Replies: 0
- Views: 2310
Johansen approach for testing cointegration
Hi everyone, I'm measuring the effect of crime on investments in Rio de Janeiro. To do so, I'm using the following investment function: I = f(Y, K, r, E, O) ; where I = investments, Y = GDP, K = capital stock, r = interest rate, E = investor's confidence, O = openess of the economy (X+M). In order t...
