Search found 9 matches

by Dim
Tue Jan 10, 2012 9:47 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Failure in improving likelihood in a state-space model
Replies: 0
Views: 1882

Failure in improving likelihood in a state-space model

Hi, I'm trying to specify the following state-space model: @signal dlrgdp = c(1) + c(2)*dlrgdp(-1) + c(3)*dhom(-23) + sv1*dhom(-23) + [var = exp(c(9))] @state sv1 = c(5)*sv1(-1) + [var = exp(c(7))] But the output window indicates: "Failure to improve likelihood after X iterations"... How t...
by Dim
Thu Dec 15, 2011 10:37 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: state space model (NEED HELP)
Replies: 0
Views: 1930

state space model (NEED HELP)

Hi everyone, I'm trying to construct a state space model based on an AR model of the dependent variable. My state space model should be relatively simple since I have only one explicative variable which as a time-varying coefficient. I want to estimate the elasticity of this explicative variable (de...
by Dim
Thu Dec 15, 2011 10:25 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: how to interpret the results of cointegraton test
Replies: 1
Views: 2772

Re: how to interpret the results of cointegraton test

Hi,

Do yxou know how to put these cointegrated vectors in the initail regression (in order to take into account the cointegrated vectors)?

Thanks,

D.
by Dim
Mon Dec 12, 2011 4:38 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Johansen approach for testing cointegration
Replies: 0
Views: 3026

Johansen approach for testing cointegration

Hi everyone, I'm measuring the effect of crime on investments in Rio de Janeiro. To do so, I'm using the following investment function: I = f(Y, K, r, E, O) ; where I = investments, Y = GDP, K = capital stock, r = interest rate, E = investor's confidence, O = openess of the economy (X+M). In order t...
by Dim
Thu Dec 08, 2011 6:26 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: D(logY) = c + b1 D(logX1), How to interpret b1?
Replies: 5
Views: 9415

Re: D(logY) = c + b1 D(logX1), How to interpret b1?

By isolate, the author means remove the long-run relationship. There is no way to detect or measure a long-run relationship among time series if they are not cointegrated. The maximum you can do is measure the short-run relationship between them by interpreting elasticities of differenciated variabl...
by Dim
Thu Dec 08, 2011 4:19 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: D(logY) = c + b1 D(logX1), How to interpret b1?
Replies: 5
Views: 9415

Re: D(logY) = c + b1 D(logX1), How to interpret b1?

Guys, D(logY) is not equal to the "rate of change of logY"! The rate of change (=growth rate) of logY is equal to: log(logYt)-log(logYt-1). In EViews language: log(logY)-log(logY(-1)). If you're not convinced, just graph in the same graph the growth rate of Y and its first difference. You ...
by Dim
Wed Dec 07, 2011 4:38 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Johansen cointegration
Replies: 11
Views: 19051

Re: Johansen cointegration

Hi, You did a big mistake in your 3): You CAN NOT transform annualy data into monthly data... Doing so, you speculate the values of your series. It's absolutely not permitted to do it if your not sure of the volatility of your series. For example, it is possible to transform annually dat into monthl...
by Dim
Wed Dec 07, 2011 4:31 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Cointegration (to difference or not to difference) NEED HELP
Replies: 2
Views: 3671

Re: Cointegration (to difference or not to difference) NEED

At levels.

But do you know how to apply the Pantula's Principle in order to determine the best model (with/without ternd; with/without intercept)? I mean, do you know the code for this Pantula's principle?

Thanks,

D.
by Dim
Wed Dec 07, 2011 4:22 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Johansen approach for testing cointegration
Replies: 0
Views: 2310

Johansen approach for testing cointegration

Hi everyone, I'm measuring the effect of crime on investments in Rio de Janeiro. To do so, I'm using the following investment function: I = f(Y, K, r, E, O) ; where I = investments, Y = GDP, K = capital stock, r = interest rate, E = investor's confidence, O = openess of the economy (X+M). In order t...

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