Search found 5 matches

by ycy88
Mon Mar 28, 2011 11:36 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: GARCH forecast algorithm?
Replies: 7
Views: 6786

Re: GARCH forecast algorithm?

I think you are asking for the initialization. EViews refers to this problem as backcasting of the presample variance. Common practice is to set the unconditional variance as the initial value. However, by default, EViews compute the residuals of the mean equation via using the coefficient values, ...
by ycy88
Sat Mar 26, 2011 10:29 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: GARCH forecast algorithm?
Replies: 7
Views: 6786

Re: GARCH forecast algorithm?

I understand. But I had a hard time figuring out how E-Views managed to get the forecast for the first observation. For example, I have data with 2000 observations. I used the first 1000 observation to construct a AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model. Then, I made a forecast for the entire data set. Eviews gener...
by ycy88
Thu Mar 24, 2011 10:18 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: GARCH forecast algorithm?
Replies: 7
Views: 6786

Re: GARCH forecast algorithm?

GARCH estimation and forecasting are not specific to any software. You can find all the details you need in any econometrics/time series textbooks... I understand. But I had a hard time figuring out how E-Views managed to get the forecast for the first observation. For example, I have data with 200...
by ycy88
Wed Mar 23, 2011 12:08 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: GARCH forecast algorithm?
Replies: 7
Views: 6786

Re: GARCH forecast algorithm?

Anyone could help, please?
by ycy88
Sun Mar 20, 2011 10:36 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: GARCH forecast algorithm?
Replies: 7
Views: 6786

GARCH forecast algorithm?

Good day, I'm using E-views 7 I would like to know the algorithm used by E-Views to forecast GARCH variance (static forecast). I tried to reproduce the same results in Microsoft Excel but failed. I couldn't figure out the algorithm E-Views used for the forecast. Also, I would like to know the algori...

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