Search found 13 matches

by whoami
Sat May 22, 2010 10:29 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Forecast vs. Fitted Values...
Replies: 1
Views: 3191

Re: Forecast vs. Fitted Values...

Never mind. I found what I was doing wrong. Thanks
by whoami
Sat May 22, 2010 10:11 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Forecast vs. Fitted Values...
Replies: 1
Views: 3191

Forecast vs. Fitted Values...

I estimated an ARMA-GARCH model. and clicked on residuals. The FITTED values were what I wanted. It ranged from 100 in 2001 to 800 in 2009. I computed DYNAMIC FORECASTs. The spreadsheet shows values from 100 in 2001 to 550 in 2009. What am I doing wrong? The FITTED values are the desired set of numb...
by whoami
Wed May 19, 2010 8:47 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Evaluating System Estimates
Replies: 0
Views: 2592

Evaluating System Estimates

Hello.

I would like to know what criteria are generally used to evaluate the estimates that result from a SYSTEM Estimation. I look at the errors and joint normality. Any other tips will be useful.

Thanks
by whoami
Wed May 19, 2010 9:24 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Contemporaneous variables - multivariate GARCH
Replies: 0
Views: 2717

Contemporaneous variables - multivariate GARCH

Should all the regressor variables on the RHS be lagged variables in Multivariate (BEKK, VEC, CCC) GARCH models?
I tried it with a combination of lagged and contempraneous variables and the software gave me an error. Is that a limitation with student editions?

Thanks for your replies.
by whoami
Tue May 18, 2010 7:45 pm
Forum: Programming
Topic: Bivariate or Trivariate GARCH
Replies: 0
Views: 2411

Bivariate or Trivariate GARCH

I have seen some tips on programming Bivariate or Trivariate GARCH. I have difficulty understanding how to program a BV or TV-GARCH with different ARCH and GARCH terms. Whether the codes provided in the examples are all for GARCH(1,1) models? If I want to model the residuals as e1 ~ GARCH(p1, q1) an...
by whoami
Sun Feb 07, 2010 6:27 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Should different software packages give different estimates?
Replies: 1
Views: 3377

Re: Should different software packages give different estimates?

I have encountered this problem. The suggestion was to change the starting values and check for the stability of the estimates. Try that with both software.
by whoami
Sun Feb 07, 2010 6:20 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: OLS - same sample, same regression - different results
Replies: 4
Views: 6644

Re: OLS - same sample, same regression - different results

Thank you for your replies. It is not a non-linear regression - I will check with the starting value settings.
by whoami
Fri Feb 05, 2010 2:56 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: OLS - same sample, same regression - different results
Replies: 4
Views: 6644

OLS - same sample, same regression - different results

Same sample, same regression - different results for coefficients beta1 and beta2 in Eviews. why does this happen? Should I check any background testing for this? =================================================================== Estimation done on Nov 2nd: --------------------------------------- D...
by whoami
Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:21 am
Forum: Suggestions and Requests
Topic: STATA 11 dvech - Eviews program?
Replies: 1
Views: 4860

STATA 11 dvech - Eviews program?

Hello: In STATA 11, there is a new command DVECH that estimates systems of equations with GARCH. Is there any such utility in Eviews? Or should I write my own program such as TVGARCH discussed in the forums? http://www.stata.com/stata11/mgarch.html "New estimation command dvech estimates diagon...
by whoami
Wed Jan 27, 2010 2:40 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: MA terms in system estimation
Replies: 0
Views: 2324

MA terms in system estimation

I read that MA terms are not allowed in System estimation. Is there a way to work around it? Thanks.
by whoami
Fri Jan 15, 2010 10:32 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Near Singular Matrix or Overflow - System Estimation
Replies: 2
Views: 5001

Re: Near Singular Matrix or Overflow - System Estimation

Thanks for your quick reply.

Multiple runs of the system give me different parameter estimates with FIML. that is a correction of my earlier post above.
by whoami
Fri Jan 15, 2010 10:22 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Near Singular Matrix or Overflow - System Estimation
Replies: 2
Views: 5001

Near Singular Matrix or Overflow - System Estimation

Hello. I have a SYSTEM of 4 equations: Supply, Demand, Inventory and Price equation. My objective is to estimate speculation (if any) in the pricing equation. Note: The variable estimating speculative behavior is an explosive time series that is conditioned on other parameters of supply, demand and ...
by whoami
Wed Nov 11, 2009 12:29 pm
Forum: Models
Topic: Forecasting with VEC Models
Replies: 0
Views: 4667

Forecasting with VEC Models

Hello. I am new to using MODEL solving. So, any help would be greatly appreciated. 1. First, I fit a VEC model with three variables X, Y and Z (with two cointegrating equations) - Sample size: 2006m01 to 2009m09 2. Then I use, PROC-MAKE MODEL to define and solve a model 3a. I want forecast from 2009...

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