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Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Tue Aug 11, 2015 8:18 pm
by andrew.lau
Hello there people of Eviews,

I think there is a bug in Eviews9 where, if you estimate a bunch of ARDL equations in a workfile, the coefficients for the each ARDL equation will be the same when viewed in Cointegrating and Long Run form, see below.

Eviews ARDL 1.PNG
Eviews ARDL 1.PNG (83.94 KiB) Viewed 10328 times


I think Eviews9 might just be displaying the coefficients from the most recently estimated ARDL equation?
When I view the Bounds Tests for each of these equations, the coefficients are different from the Cointegrating and Long Run form.

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Tue Aug 11, 2015 9:10 pm
by EViews Gareth
Build date of your copy of EViews (Help->About EViews)?

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Thu Aug 13, 2015 7:27 pm
by andrew.lau
Hi there Gareth,

My build date is Apr 20 2015 build

I think my system administrators have disabled the update Eviews feature on my desktop, so it is probably out of date.

If this issue has already been fixed then please ignore my post.

Cheers

Andrew Lau

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Thu Aug 13, 2015 7:50 pm
by EViews Gareth
I would thoroughly recommend updating. You can try doing it manually:
http://www.eviews.com/download/download.html

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 8:30 pm
by ngantran
Hello,

I think the bug of long-run form is still there. I am using Eviews 9.5 (updated September 2016). I found that the long-run coefficients calculated from bounds test are different from those from cointegrating and long run form. Please see pictures below.

Untitled.png
Untitled.png (163.52 KiB) Viewed 9897 times

Untitled1.png
Untitled1.png (161.98 KiB) Viewed 9897 times


For example: From bounds test (pic1), the long-run effect of RISK on LONG = -(0.442182/-0.163614)=-2.702592688. However, the result from cointegrating and long run form (pic 2) indicates that number is 0.196087, so much different from bounds tests. I used HQC information criteria in this example. When I changed to AIC, the bug disappears.

Could you please help me to fix that bug?
Thank you so much!

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Sat Oct 08, 2016 9:08 am
by igor
For ngantran:

The regressions you presented are not the same. There are two variables in the second model that are not included in the first one. So the models are not fully comparable.
p.s. Sorry, I was, probably, wrong if these two variables has zero lags. Thus, you question is relevant.

For Gareth:

It seems that there are some problems with ARDL.

1. When the lags are fixed then all is ok, but when the lags are selected by info criteria then the coeffifents in ARDL Bounds Test regression and Cointegrating Form are somewhat different. They have to be the same.
2. There is also another issue: fixed regressors should not be inclided in the long run equation. For this reason, current ARDL bounds test prosedure cannot replicate example from PSS(2001). One can do this only manually in Eviews.

It should be great if a new version of Eviews permits fully replication of PSS(2001). You can include an appropriate data file as an example.

Best regards,
Igor

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Fri Oct 14, 2016 12:34 am
by ngantran
Hi, thanks for your reply.

There is a case with zero lags in two variables. I realise that in this case, if you compute the long-run estimation based on bounds tests from Eviews, it will return different results from cointegration and long-run form. This error does not occur in the case with minimum 1 lags.

Could you please explain why as both of models, in theory, should return the same result?

Thanks.

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Fri Oct 14, 2016 8:35 am
by EViews Gareth
You're right, there is a bug in the case that zero lags are selected. We'll look into fixing it (might take a while).

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 5:37 am
by Lasse
Any update on how the bug fixing is going? Is the bug still there?

Re: Eviews9 ARDL Cointegrating and Long Run Form

Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 5:47 am
by EViews Gareth
Still working on it, but it shouldn't be too much longer.