Restricting the dependent variable

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jacarandas
Posts: 20
Joined: Tue Feb 10, 2015 10:11 pm

Restricting the dependent variable

Postby jacarandas » Mon Jan 16, 2017 10:11 pm

Hi,

So, I have been trying to figure this out. I know it's possible to impose restrictions on the coefficients of the independent variables. But, is there any way to have a constraint on the dependent variables of a model of equations, in which all the dependent variables must sum up to 1 by construct?

Thanks!

EViews Gareth
Fe ddaethom, fe welon, fe amcangyfrifon
Posts: 13312
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2008 5:38 pm

Re: Restricting the dependent variable

Postby EViews Gareth » Mon Jan 16, 2017 10:47 pm

This makes very little sense. Can you explain what you mean in more detail?
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jacarandas
Posts: 20
Joined: Tue Feb 10, 2015 10:11 pm

Re: Restricting the dependent variable

Postby jacarandas » Mon Jan 16, 2017 10:55 pm

I've a set of ratios that sums up to 1 in history. I would like to forecast them ahead of time. But, how do I ensure that these forecast ratios in the model sums up to 1 and remain positive? Is there an estimation method I can use or an identity I can append to my model?

Currently, I am using a least square estimation to forecast ahead.

I know I am able to restrict coefficients on independent variables. But, I don't know if the same thing works for forecasts/dependent variables.

Thanks!

KrilleJ
Posts: 40
Joined: Fri Feb 20, 2015 6:15 am

Re: Restricting the dependent variable

Postby KrilleJ » Wed Jan 18, 2017 5:44 am

Perhaps logit-type specifications could work:

fraction_i=exp(x_i*beta_i)/exp(sum_i x_i*beta_i)


/K


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