Forecasting a time series model using ARIMA model

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Saakshi
Posts: 24
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2016 10:23 am

Forecasting a time series model using ARIMA model

Postby Saakshi » Fri Jun 24, 2016 8:19 am

Hi,

I need to forecast a series using ARIMA procedure. So far I have regress the arima equation and is able to do the forecast. But my problem start when I want to forecast the series at 1 and 4 quarter. Actually I have to get an inflation expectation series which is forecasted at 1 quarter and 4 quarter. My series are on quarter basis. Through the help of eviews tutorial I am able to run the arima model but now I need to get the forecast for just one quarter and four quarter.

Please help.

thanks
Saakshi

Saakshi
Posts: 24
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2016 10:23 am

Re: Forecasting a time series model using ARIMA model

Postby Saakshi » Fri Jun 24, 2016 11:15 am

Hi,

I want to forecast CPI from 1996Q1 to 2016Q1. My data of CPI is for the same period. I am actually looking for E_t(CPI_t+1) i.e future inflation for every quarter from 1996Q1 to 2016Q1. This forecasting I need to do is by ARIMA 1 quarter that is it will cover one quarter and another by ARIMA 4 quarter. So far I am able to regress the ARIMA model but I am not able to forecast at 1 and 4 quarter.

Kindly help.

Thanks
Saakshi

Saakshi
Posts: 24
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2016 10:23 am

Re: Forecasting a time series model using ARIMA model

Postby Saakshi » Sat Jun 25, 2016 6:50 am

Please help me with this problem. I am stuck here. Kindly help.


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