Inclusion of AR terms in Logit model

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Victor_Naegele
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Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2014 6:24 am

Inclusion of AR terms in Logit model

Postby Victor_Naegele » Thu Nov 17, 2016 6:02 am

Hi to all,

I´m from Brazil and at the moment I am trying to model the market share of ethanol, I think the best way to do this is by using a Logit model like the one below:

Ethanol_share = 1/(1+exp(c(1)+c(2)*Ethanol_price/Gasoline_Price))

The problem that I am facing is that there is serial correlation in the model above, so I included an AR term to correct for the serial correlation, the model became like this.

Ethanol_share = 1/(1+exp(c(1)+c(2)*Ethanol_price/Gasoline_Price)) + [AR(1)=c(3)]

By including the AR term the serial correlation problem was corrected.

My question is if it is wrong to include AR terms in Logit models?

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