Search found 20 matches

by mickeykozzi
Wed Aug 12, 2020 12:23 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL - Trend Specification
Replies: 11
Views: 15591

Re: ARDL - Trend Specification

Thanks Igor
by mickeykozzi
Tue Aug 11, 2020 11:55 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL - Trend Specification
Replies: 11
Views: 15591

Re: ARDL - Trend Specification

Hi, The comments to this post are very disappointing, as EnjoFaes and I have a strong point. As shown by a very strong author, Narayan (2004), there is a reported Constant (C) for the long-run model and the ECM. In fact, this is common in the literature. An here lies the issue and hence the original...
by mickeykozzi
Mon Aug 10, 2020 2:19 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Granger/Wald Causality vs Pairwise Causality
Replies: 2
Views: 7238

Re: Granger/Wald Causality vs Pairwise Causality

Hello
I have annual series of 38 observations for my VECM.

So you wouldnt use the pairwise?

My confusion is why they show different results.
i guess they are different tests?

cheers
by mickeykozzi
Sun Aug 09, 2020 10:48 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Granger/Wald Causality vs Pairwise Causality
Replies: 2
Views: 7238

Granger/Wald Causality vs Pairwise Causality

]Hello all I am currently working with a VECM model. I am exploring Granger/Wald Causality and Pairwise Causality, however, there is some confusion. If you look at picture 1, the Granger/Wald Causality test, you can see 4 variables have a significant p-value, meaning those variables have short-run c...
by mickeykozzi
Thu Aug 06, 2020 3:18 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL/ECM Question
Replies: 23
Views: 29157

Re: ARDL/ECM Question

Hi
Thanks I guess. I'll keep searching
by mickeykozzi
Thu Aug 06, 2020 2:07 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL - Trend Specification
Replies: 11
Views: 15591

Re: ARDL - Trend Specification

I dont understand. However I found the solution.
by mickeykozzi
Thu Aug 06, 2020 2:06 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL/ECM Question
Replies: 23
Views: 29157

Re: ARDL/ECM Question

Hello
I dont really understand what you mean.
What original works? What blogs?

Cheers
by mickeykozzi
Wed Aug 05, 2020 5:06 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL/ECM Question
Replies: 23
Views: 29157

Re: ARDL/ECM Question

Hello EViews Mirza,

How are you?
Have you had a chance to take a look at this one?
its an interesting question with a lot of views! :)

Cheers
by mickeykozzi
Wed Aug 05, 2020 5:05 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL - Trend Specification
Replies: 11
Views: 15591

Re: ARDL - Trend Specification

I worked out the answer.
Message me if you want to know, cheers
by mickeykozzi
Wed Aug 05, 2020 3:01 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL - Trend Specification
Replies: 11
Views: 15591

ARDL - Trend Specification

Hello, I am running my ARDL and ECM models and I am having some confusion surrounding Trend Specification and which option to choose (pictured). Looking at guidelines from Eviews and other authors, option 2 and 3 seem to be the most popular. I have read what each option means, however its difficult ...
by mickeykozzi
Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:09 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL/ECM Question
Replies: 23
Views: 29157

Re: ARDL/ECM Question

Thank you EViews Mirza, I have read these and they are very helpful. The example I refer to can be found in this youtube example by Crunch Economics. Many other authors on youtube follow the same method https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2F1OY_1X8A0. In explaining it simply, I have added photors: Photo...
by mickeykozzi
Fri Jul 31, 2020 3:45 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL/ECM Question
Replies: 23
Views: 29157

Re: ARDL/ECM Question

Thank you Mirza. I had a feeling that this was the case, as I noticed the ARDL selection model was the same for the ARDL and then the ECM Model (that is parsimoniously selected).You are saying that model transformation does not change the residuals (I thought this might be the case). I have another ...
by mickeykozzi
Fri Jul 31, 2020 8:36 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL/ECM Question
Replies: 23
Views: 29157

Re: ARDL/ECM Question

Hi,
So how do I find the residual results for the ECM/ARDL?
Bth the original ARDL and the parsimonious ECM/ARDL use the same seated mod, so I'm guessing they have the same residual result???
by mickeykozzi
Fri Jul 31, 2020 12:23 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: ARDL/ECM Question
Replies: 23
Views: 29157

ARDL/ECM Question

ARDL/ECM Question Hello. When I run the Error Correction Form in Eviews, it produces the ECM/ARDL parsimonious model. When I then run the residual diagnostic tests (as pictured) for Normality, Serial Correlation and Heteroskedasticity, and CUSUM, are the results from the ECM/ARDL Model or the origin...
by mickeykozzi
Thu Apr 02, 2020 3:34 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Unit Root Testing
Replies: 0
Views: 6522

Unit Root Testing

Hi all! Can anyone provide some advice here. I am looking to find a paper that shows which unit root tests hold more power at different sample sizes. I have a small sample size, n = 36, so under 50. I am doing a time series analysis Which test is more appropriate for a small sample size? ADF, PP, KP...

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