Search found 4 matches

by mchan
Tue Oct 10, 2017 3:51 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Generate long-run forecasts
Replies: 1
Views: 2618

Generate long-run forecasts

Hi, I have a very basic question. I estimated a DOLS and FMOLS equation and would like to generate a long-run forecast using the coefficients. This is before building an error-correction model. I proceed by using Proc > Forecast however I noticed that the series generated is very different (much lar...
by mchan
Wed Sep 20, 2017 10:34 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Panel PMG/ARDL
Replies: 4
Views: 6492

Re: Panel PMG/ARDL

Does anyone knows if we can obtain an estimate for our dependent using the coefficients from only the Long-Run Equation coefficients? I tried doing this on eviews (i.e. LGDP_Forecast= c(1)*x1 + c(2)*x2 +.. c(n)*xn) but got a very inflated estimate (100 times my observed) and does not co-move at all....
by mchan
Tue Sep 19, 2017 9:53 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Panel PMG/ARDL
Replies: 4
Views: 6492

Re: Panel PMG/ARDL

Thanks for the reply Gareth, really apprecaite it.

How about my first question, should my dependent be interpreted as LGDP or D(LGDP)?

Cheers
by mchan
Tue Sep 19, 2017 4:52 pm
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Panel PMG/ARDL
Replies: 4
Views: 6492

Panel PMG/ARDL

Hi all. I am using Eviews 9 to estimate a PMG/ARDL model using unbalanced panel data, and there are a couple of clarifications I need to make. My estimation output window has both 'Long Run Equation' and 'Short Run Equation'. My inputed dependent is LGDP and a ARDL (2,1,1,1...) model was selected: 1...

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