Search found 2 matches

by Alecs
Thu Aug 03, 2017 8:21 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Forecast Evaluation for GARCH-type models
Replies: 0
Views: 2219

Forecast Evaluation for GARCH-type models

I want to forecast variance and I do not understand how to obtain the RMSE, MAE, MAPE for the variance. Step-by-step approach: 1. Use Log Returns 2. Fit ARIMA using AIC 3. Add GARCH(1,1) and estimate coefficients in sample. 4. Proc -> Forecast, select my out-of-sample period and static forecasting 5...
by Alecs
Thu Jul 27, 2017 5:18 am
Forum: Estimation
Topic: Forecasting Variance
Replies: 1
Views: 2551

Forecasting Variance

Good afternoon! I am trying to forecast variance but I am unsure about something regarding the results. So, I have stock returns and I want to forecast their variance out-of-sample using GARCH, EGARCH and GJR-GARCH. I specify the mean equation, select ARCH under method estimate the model then Proc -...

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